Tag Archives: CSO

Boarded up homes on Connaught St, Phibsboro earlier this year

You may recall how the Census 2016 figures which showed 183,312 vacant houses in Ireland – excluding vacant holiday homes.

And how Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said last week that:

“…the numbers [of houses] that are really vacant are actually much smaller than any of the figures show.

And the Irish Times reporting last week:

“… the real number of unoccupied houses and apartments might only be a tiny fraction of that, if the results of an investigation carried out by Fingal County Council are replicated elsewhere.

Its study, which involved council officials visiting houses listed as vacant, found that only a very small number of houses in the north county Dublin authority area (perhaps only 50 or 60) were genuinely unoccupied, compared with the 3,000 figure stated for Fingal in the official census returns.”

Rob Kitchin, on his Ireland After Nama blog, has looked at this story, acknowledging he couldn’t locate the Fingal County Council report or press release.

Mr Kitchin is a Professor of Human Geography and Director of the National Institute of Regional and Spatial Analysis at the National University of Maynooth

He writes:

“What is reported in the IT is:

‘The council initially conducted a desktop exercise on the 3,000 supposedly vacant properties. When commercial properties, as well as those in construction or in the planning process, were eliminated the figure fell to 361 properties.’  They then visited 74 of the 361 homes to check on occupancy, though it’s not stated how those 74 were sampled. 

Of those 74 visited, they discovered that only 13 were actually vacant. In other words, rather than having a vacancy rate of 5% (as reported in the 2016 census – 4,944 vacant units + 289 holiday homes), they have a rate of about 1% – far below what might be an expected base vacancy level of 6% (there are always some units vacant due to selling, gaps between renting, working temporarily elsewhere, people in healthcare, etc.). 

I have no doubt in the 18 months since the census in April 2016 properties that were vacant will have been occupied, however it seems unlikely that vacancy is so far below base vacancy, which is what the IT piece seems to be suggesting.

“In terms of method it is unlikely that the CSO shared the individual addresses of vacant properties as identified in the census with Fingal.

“But if they were working from census data then it does not include commercial properties, nor properties under-construction, or in the planning process, or derelict.

“So removing those properties from census counts would make no sense – they were never counted by the CSO. Indeed, in a rebuttal story in the Irish Times, the CSO stand over their data and method – which is to send enumerators to every property in the country, to visit upwards of ten times if they fail to get an answer, and to talk to neighbours to try and ascertain the use status.

“…In my view, there needs to be a branch-and-root review of property data in Ireland.

“This needs to start with asking the question: what data do we need to generate to best understand planning, housing, commercial property, infrastructure need, etc?

“…With good quality data that people trust we might avoid different agencies producing wildly estimates of some element of housing or commercial property, such as vacancy rates, and we would greatly aid our planning and economic development.

“However, if we carry on as we are, we’re going to continue to fly half-blind and only have a partial or flawed understanding of present conditions and we are going to replicate mistakes of the past.”

We still need better property data (Rob Kitchin, Ireland After Nama)

Thanks Mel Reynolds

The Central Statistics Office writes:

In the year to July, residential property prices at national level increased by 12.3%. This compares with an increase of 11.5% in the year to June and an increase of 7.1% in the twelve months to July 2016.

In Dublin, residential property prices increased by 12.7% in the year to July. Dublin house prices increased 12.6%. Apartments in Dublin increased 12.0% in the same period. The highest house price growth was in Dublin City, at 13.6%. In contrast, the lowest growth was in Fingal, with house prices rising 7.4%.

Residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland (i.e. excluding Dublin) were 11.7% higher in the year to July. House prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 11.8% over the period. The West region showed the greatest price growth, with house prices increasing 15.8%.  The Mid-West region showed the least price growth, with house prices increasing 8.2%. Apartment prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 13.7% in the same period.

Residential Property Price Index July 2017 (CSO)

This morning.

The Central Statistics Office released new figures in relation to the movement of the population within Ireland.

It reports:

In April 2016, 44% of the State’s total urban population lived in Dublin, while 11% lived in CorkSligo was the county with the biggest change in the rate of urbanisation, increasing from 37% to 40% over the five years.  Forty-one towns had a population of 10,000 or more, with 27 in Leinster, nine in Munster, three in Connacht and two in the three Ulster counties.  62.7% of the population lived in urban areas in April 2016.

37.3% of the population lived in rural areas in April 2016.  The largest rural population increase was in County Cork with 6,946 persons followed by Kildare which saw its rural population increase by 4,025 persons.

Drogheda, with a population of 40,956 (up 6.2% since April 2011) remained the largest town in Ireland.  Swords (39,248) and Dundalk (39,004) complete the top three.  Ennis (25,276 persons) remained the largest town in Munster.

Sligo with 19,199 persons was Connacht’s largest town, while Letterkenny (19,274 persons) was the largest town in the three Ulster counties.  The latter three towns experienced a slight decline in population since April 2011.

263,551 usual residents (aged one year and over) moved in the year up to April 2016, down 3.5% on the 2011 figure of 273,239.  Of these, 94,182 moved in Dublin, with 18,716 moving out of the county.  The top destinations were Kildare, Meath and Wicklow.  The number of households moving in the year up to April 2016 fell by 4% to 110,204.

Read the full report here

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From the Central Statistics Office…

In the year to February, residential property prices at national level increased by 10.7%. This compares with an increase of 8.1% in the year to January and an increase of 5.4% in the twelve months to February 2016.

In Dublin, residential property prices increased by 8.3% in the year to February. Dublin house prices increased 8.1%. Whereas apartments increased 9.1% in the same period. The highest house price growth was in Dublin City, at 9.2%. In contrast, the lowest growth was in Fingal, with house prices rising just 3.7%.

Residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland (i.e. excluding Dublin) were 13.2% higher in the year to February. House prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 13.1% over the period. The West region showed the greatest price growth, with house prices increasing 19.8%.  In contrast, the Mid-East region showed the least price growth, with house prices increasing 9.3%. Apartment prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 13.9% in the same period.

Residential Property Price Index February 2017 (CSO)

Flipping Hell

stylo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCe2bwNeK7I&feature=youtu.be

Ireland through the years..

With olde timey piano music.

Andy Byron, of Dublin-based Stylo design, writes:

So we made this video based on the infographic recently released by the CSO. We thought your readers might like it…

Stylo Design

Previously: TB Sheet

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A letter sent from the Central Statistics Office to Eurostat on July 25, 2015

Ken Foxe, in yesterday’s Sunday Times, reported:

“A reference to plans for the future privatisation of Irish Water was removed from a Eurostat letter explaining its classification of the water utility following a request from the Central Statistics Office (CSO). The reference, which could have proved highly embarrassing to the government, was in a preliminary letter sent by the European statistics agency to the CSO last July.”

“Eurostat had, in its original letter, said the “privatisation of Irish Water is ultimately envisaged” although ownership of the infrastructure could only be changed by referendum. However, the CSO asked that the reference to privatisation be removed, according to correspondence obtained by The Sunday Times following a document request to Eurostat.”

Meanwhile, Senan Molony, in today’s Irish Daily Mail [not online], reports:

“Irish Water has declined to say how many households have cancelled their direct debits since the firm admitted fewer than half had paid the first round of bills in summer. Instead the utility is insisting new direct debits are being taken out all the time.”

“Anti-water charges activists, however, claim their sources in the company are maintaining that up to one fifth of direct debt mandates originally set up by householders are no longer functioning in relation to the second billing period.”

Asked about a suggestion that possibly 19 per cent of direct debit mandates have been cancelled, Irish Water acknowledged customers could ‘change their minds’ but would not confirm how many cancellations have been made.”

Related: Irish Water silence on cancelled water payments (Fiachra Ó Cionnaith, Irish Examiner)

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A graph and table from yesterday’s Central Statistics Office survey on income and living conditions in Ireland and Michelle Murphy, from Social Justice Ireland on Tonight With Vincent Browne last night

Michelle Murphy, from Social Justice Ireland, summarised the CSO survey on income and living conditions in Ireland last night.

– The median disposable income for an individual – after tax and after social welfare transfers – is just €17,374. This has dropped from €20,681 in 2008.

– One in eight children is living in poverty.

– 60% of those children is living in consistent poverty.

– As a whole, consistent poverty has doubled since 2008.

– There 698,000 people in Ireland who are living on incomes below the poverty line, in other words living on an income of under €10,425 a year.

– 91,000 people who have a job are living on an income below €10,425 a year, otherwise known as the ‘working poor’.

– If Ireland didn’t have social welfare, half the population would receive below €10,425 per year.

From last night’s show:

Vincent Browne: “The median income is the income that the person in the middle of society has, so it gives a far better reflection. And the median income is €33, 469 and we conduct public debate in this country as though everyone is living off of €50,000 and over. This isn’t true. And I just think half the population are living on..sorry, this is household income now, household income…of less than that.”

Michelle Murphy “Yes, so the median income gives a much clearer picture. It shows you what’s happening in society and the median income has been falling year on year, even though the average income rose this year, the median income fell and the picture of what’s happening in the middle. That shows that people are still losing money, it shows that perhaps wages are falling, they’ve less money in their pocket, they’re paying more for services. And the median income for an individual, not a household, is just €17,000 per annum so that’s the median income for individuals in the  middle in society. So it really gives an accurate picture of what’s happening in the economy and in society and the challenges that Government face in terms of implementing policies to deal with because the policies they’ve implemented thus far have actually worsened the problem.”

Survey on income and living conditions (Central Statistics Office)

Number of people in consistent poverty in Ireland doubles since 2008 (Social Justice Ireland)

Watch Vincent Browne back in full here

Previously: The Real Heroes

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The Central Statistics Office sez:

“Preliminary estimates show that average weekly earnings were €671.70 in Q3 2014, down 0.8% from €677.13 a year earlier. Revised weekly earnings were €684.97 in Q2 2014 and showed a decrease of 1.5% over the same period in 2013.”

“Other features of the preliminary results for Q3 2014 include: Average hourly earnings were €21.07 in Q3 2014 compared with €21.36 in Q3 2013, representing a decrease of 1.4% over the year. Average weekly paid hours were 31.9 in Q3 2014, an increase of 0.6% from 31.7 recorded in Q3 2013. Average hourly total labour costs stood at €24.26 in Q3 2014, a fall of 1.1% from the Q3 2013 value of €24.52.”

And…

“Over the 4 year period, Q3 2010 to Q3 2014, average weekly earnings across individual sectors show changes ranging between -12.1%, for the Education sector decreasing from €889.91 to €782.63, and +7.3%, for the Construction sector increasing from €661.65 to €709.82.”

There you go now.

Earnings and Labour Costs Quarterly (Central Statistics Office)

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New figures from the Central Statistics Office, released this morning, say the sector which has seen the largest percentage increase in average weekly earnings in the year to Q2 2014, is that of the construction sector. 

It has risen 6% from €698.27 to €739.96.

The Arts, Entertainment, Recreation and Other Service Activities sector saw the largest percentage decrease, -5.3%, from €500.42 to €474.13.

Earnings and Labour Costs Quarterly (Central Statistics Office)

dublinprice

Dublin

[Top: A new graph published by the Central Statistics Office today detailing property prices in Ireland between February 2005 and February 2013 and, above, a screebgrab from a table showing the percentage price change in properties in Dublin in January and February 2014]

The CSO found:

In Dublin residential property prices fell by 0.6% in February and were 13.3% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices fell by 0.6% in the month and were 13.6% higher compared to a year earlier. Dublin apartment prices were 10.5% higher when compared with the same month of 2013. The price of residential properties in the Rest of Ireland (i.e. excluding Dublin) rose by 0.9% in February compared with a decrease of 2.1% in February of last year. Prices were 4.2% higher than in February 2013.

Mark Sugrue writes:

“According to the CSO, Dublin house prices have fallen 2.1% since the start of 2014, bringing prices back to where they were in September 2013. Although the Dublin Meeja will claim the opposite. Doesn’t the Irish Times own myhome.ie?”

Residential Property Prices rise by 8.1% in the year to February (Central Statistics Office)

Graph update:

catOh.

Thanks Mark