Tag Archives: weather


From top: Today’s Irish Independent; UK Met Office graph depicting the relationship between the El Nino and cold winters in Ireland.

The coldest winter since the 1950s?

Not so fast, weather fans.

Mark Dunphy writes~:

There are some scientific/meteorological reasons to suggest that the building blocks for a colder than average winter to verify are in place. They include record-breaking cold seas surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, entrenched early season cold in Russia and soon Eastern Europe, a strong El Nino, and periods of High Pressure blocking in recent weeks dragging in a polar continental airmass across Ireland and Britain.

But – strong El Ninos and cold Atlantic waters have come and gone without record breaking cold occurring in this part of the world in the past. For example, the strong El Nino year of 1991-92 winter season saw Oct-May in Ireland/Britain producing warmer than average conditions. Furthermore, the below UK Met Office data shows strong/very strong El Nino years (circled in red) not exactly supporting the circulating theory of impending record breaking cold.

Furthermore, the UKMO [UK Meto Office] plot (pic 2) confirms the relationship between the El Nino and cold winters in Ireland doesn’t hold for STRONG events.

The Irish Independent article bases its article on the fact that migratory birds have migrated to this side of the world. Nothing too unusual about that you might think. The birds in question migrate to the UK every year and have arrived early for two reasons.

Easterly winds have been persistent in recent weeks meaning that they have decided to take off west while the going is good (easier flight than the flight they normally make against westerly winds).

The other reason is that Siberia has seen winter kick in rather early. Eastern and central Europe too will experience some snow over the next few days. Many other similar newspaper articles have appeared in recent weeks with no evidence other than supposition to claim that Ireland is set for its coldest winter since 1963.


Is Ireland heading for a record breaking cold winter? Perhaps not (Mark Dunphy, The Clare Herald)

Is Ireland Heading For The Worst Winter In 50 Years (Independent.ie)


Ireland today.

Mark Dunphy writes:

This satellite image of Ireland was captured by NASA’s MODIS satellite at midday today. It shows snow cover remains in a few spots across the country, particularly on the mountains of Leinster and Munster and mostly on high ground throughout Connacht and Ulster. There is also some convective activity visible over the Irish Sea but this is unlikely to bring widespread showers activity to the East Coast today as winds are mostly northerly….

Hi-res here

nellynoraNelly (left) and Nora

Nelly and Nora.

The weather girls.

From Dublin-based Geronimo Productions.

Sinead Harrington writes:

RTÉjr [available on Sky Channel 624,Saorview Channel 7,UPC Channel 600] will air the world premier of a new animation series Nelly and Nora on February 2 at 9:30am.The series follows the stories of two young sisters, Nelly and Nora, who spend their family holidays and weekends in a mobile home camping park by the sea.

Speaking on his idea for the show, creator Gerard O’Rourke said: “This series was inspired by a regular family holiday in Wicklow and is based on our obsession as a nation with the weather.”Gerard noticed that his own two daughters were always playing outside their holiday home, regardless of the weather. While on the other hand, adults tend to allow the weather dictate their every movement.