Ireland’s Brexit Vacuum

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Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May, centre, poses for a photo with Northern Ireland's First Minister Arlene Foster, left and Deputy First Minister Martin McGuinness, prior to their meeting, Stormont Castle in Belfast, Northern Ireland, Monday July 25, 2016. May met Northern Ireland’s leaders in Belfast Monday in a bid to allay Northern Irish concerns about Britain's vote to leave the European Union. (Charles McQuillan/PA via AP)

derek

From top: Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May, with Northern Ireland’s First Minister Arlene Foster (left) and Deputy First Minister Martin McGuinness, prior to their  post-Brexit meeting at Stormont Castle in Belfast, Northern Ireland,on July 25; Derek Mooney

The onus now lies on the Irish government to take up the slack and communicate Ireland’s special island case across Europe in the interest of the 26 counties and in the interest of the North too.

Derek Mooney writes:

On Friday the Politico.eu website published details of the UK’s Brexit Cabinet Committee, including a who’s in and who’s out of which Cabinet Ministers had made it on to this powerful committee.

As Politico noted, controversially the secretaries of state for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are not given permanent positions around the decision-making table. Instead they may attend committee meetings “as required” by the Prime Minister.

The significance of this omission should not be lost on us here. Not only is the British government struggling to come up with a clear and consistent negotiating position, it increasingly seems that issues relating to how Brexit will affect this island are now way down the priority list.

Within days of her ascent to high office, Theresa May went to Edinburgh to assure the Scottish First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, that the Scottish government, along with devolved administrations in Northern Ireland, and Wales, would be fully ‘involved’ in the negotiations with the EU.

She did the same when she travelled to Cardiff and, eventually, to Belfast, as I discussed here at the time.

The UK government is now resiling from that commitment with its position shifting from having the devolved Administrations “involved” to only having them “consulted”. This is the phraseology the UK Brexit Minister, David Davis was using when he spoke in the House of Commons last week; telling an SNP MP:

“…we will consult and have detailed discussions with the Scottish Administration, and those in Wales and Northern Ireland, before we trigger article 50…”

On Sunday’s Andrew Marr Show, Scotland’s First Minister said she found it “frustrating, if I can be diplomatic about it” that Theresa May’s promise of being fully involved had not been honoured so far and suggested that she wants to see progress on this at a meeting of the heads of the devolved administrations with Prime Minister May next Monday.

Where the Scottish Government has been vigorous and active in its preparations, the Northern Ireland Executive has been languid and passive. Up to this weekend the only real action on Brexit preparations that the Executive had taken as a coherent unit was to write a letter to the British Prime Minister.

Not that the two main parties in the Executive: The DUP and Sinn Féin, have managed to do that much individually either.

Just before the summer the DUP leader and First Minister, Arlene Foster, managed to briefly scupper the Irish Government’s proposal of an island forum, while Sinn Féin did its usual trick of organising a few street protests calling for a border poll, neatly masking its masterly inaction in office.

This situation did change a little over the weekend with the Deputy First Minister, Sinn Féin’s James Martin Pacelli McGuinness, telling the Guardian newspaper that the EU should grant Northern Ireland special status.

He also said that the big challenge is “whether the government in the north and the south can come to a common position… about what we want to see come out of these negotiations.”

Doesn’t that presume that the executive in the North can come to an agreed position first?

Well… better late than never, I suppose.

I am sure that Mr McGuinness’s final discovery of a position yesterday had absolutely nothing to do with the Northern Ireland Assembly debating an SDLP motion today that there should be legal recognition of the unique status of Northern Ireland to safeguard the interests of the people of Northern Ireland.

The NI assembly is debating that motion as I write. Sadly, as with many major issues in the North that debate is being conducted in broadly sectarian terms with the SDLP, Sinn Féin and Alliance supporting the case for special status and the DUP opposing it. The UUP says it kind of supports the idea, but just not to the extent of actually voting for it.

The debate, or at least the portions I heard, are very far out of kilter with the views of the voters. Over 56% of voters in the North supported remaining in the EU, but the numbers get even more interesting when you look at the voting preferences of those who voted.

According to a major (sample size 4,000) Ipsos-MORI poll, conducted on behalf of Queen’s University, over 92% of those identifying themselves as SDLP supporters and 86% of those identifying as SF supporters, voted to remain. The numbers for Green and Alliance party voters are equally high at around 80% each.

On the other side only 30% of those identifying as DUP voted Remain, though the figure was much higher, at 46%, for the UUP.

The higher UUP figure may be due in part to the UUP leadership urging a Remain vote in the referendum, though it may also suggest that UUP voters are more middle class, as middle class unionists were more likely to vote Remain than Leave.

So, where does this leave us?

For starters it tells us that the many on the Unionist side are content to leave the views of 40% of their own supporters and the majority of the entire population of the North go unrepresented.

It also show that they will be facilitated in this by the meek response of an Executive, including McGuinness and co, who seem ill-prepared for consultation about, never mind full involvement in, actual negotiations.

The onus now lies on the Irish government to take up the slack and communicate Ireland’s special island case across Europe. This is in the interest of the 26 counties and in the interest of the North too.

The government’s “all-island Civic Dialogue on Brexit” which will meet on November 2nd is a reasonable start, though dropping the word “forum” from its title was a pointless concession.

But it is only that: a start. There is a great deal more work to be done if Irish interests are to be protected and safeguarded.

Derek Mooney is a communications and public affairs consultant. He previously served as a Ministerial Adviser to the Fianna Fáil-led government 2004 – 2010. His column appears here every Monday mid-afternoon. Follow Derek on Twitter: @dsmooney

27 thoughts on “Ireland’s Brexit Vacuum

  1. Jake38

    We are drifting towards the Brexit iceberg with the Shinners and the bigots steering the ship. God help us.

  2. DubLoony

    Maybe this is a cunning plan by May. Lack of love from London, a reduction in the subvention from London & farm payments from EU plus border difficulties, might give them thought that joining with the republic might be in their interest?

    1. ahjayzis

      Not likely considering Foster & Co. and their supporters of the more sister-marrying variety could be reduced to eating from bins and fighting for blankets in a post-apocalyptic scenario before even considering switching sides. Slap a union jack on the bin and they’d be happy as Larry.

  3. nellyb

    “Special island case” – there is so much wrong with this choice of words. Call yourself needy – and you transform into one. [Sigh]

  4. DubLoony

    €1.5bn worth of business is done between Ireland and UK every week.
    We are their 5th highest export county.
    If they are looking for new markets, it needs to be pointed out that that is more than the BRICS – Brazil, Russia, India, China combined.

  5. Neilo

    After decades of Ulster-Scots gubbins, I’m tickled that the Leave vote in Occupied Ireland identified with the Little Englander in preference to the canny Teuchter.

      1. Neilo

        Strange to me that a community that identifies itself so vociferously with Scotland toes the UKIP line in a referendum. :-)

  6. Sheik Yahbouti

    I frequently stand amazed, and even astonished, at the sheer hard neck of Mr. Mooney “Government Adviser” 2004 to 2010.

    1. Harry Molloy

      give over Sheik.

      sometimes it worth focusing on what was said rather than who said it.

      that’s free advice from me my friend.

    1. Neilo

      Indeed I did, Coppélia, thanks for the link. AE-P’s cool, precise style sounds an always welcome note of reality.

  7. some old queen

    Brexit has thrown an interesting spotlight on the North. Not that the south is any different otherwise we would have a proper government BUT…

    The toxic nationalism which dominates Northern Ireland has now no idea what to do next. We are British meaning we are not Irish OR we are Irish meaning we demand a fully funded NHS and public housing in every town/village.

    Someone has to take the initiative.

    Fair ducks to the SDLP.

  8. Derek Mooney

    Since writing this piece the Assembly has voted on the SDLP motion on EU special status for Northern Ireland and defeated it by just one vote 47:46. The two PBP MLAs abstained (by voting in both lobbies), their votes could have passed the motion.

    1. ahjayzis

      Lexiters. Left wing Brexit supporters.

      You have to hand it to them. Living under the DUP, who live under a rabidly populist Tory government in London, in an atmosphere of xenophobia and open racism and isolation, and they think Brexit will be a left-wing revolution. Fupping imbeciles, all of them.

  9. Truth in the News

    As the Government dithers, we need to have referendum on whether we go
    or stay too, as we head down the road, the same issue will arise in Hungary
    France, Holland and even Spain, as the EU is constituted and run its only a
    matter of time before it folds.

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