Playing Hard To Get

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EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier in Brussels this morning

A no-deal Brexit is now more likely but can still be avoided, the EU’s chief negotiator has said.

Michel Barnier said a long extension to the UK’s current 12 April exit date carried “significant risks for the EU” and that a “strong justification would be needed” before the EU would agree.

…In the Commons votes on Monday, MPs rejected a customs union with the EU by three votes. A motion for another referendum got the most votes in favour, but still lost.

One suggestion has been the possibility of a general election – but former foreign secretary Boris Johnson told BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg that would be likely to “infuriate” voters.

Brexit: No deal more likely but can be avoided – Barnier (BBC)

Meanwhile

Pic: Reuters

10 thoughts on “Playing Hard To Get

  1. Jake38

    Just as well for May that the Shinners regard Brexit, and the associated chaos, as a gift from god. Otherwise they could vote her out it they took their seats.

  2. Anomanomanom

    Considering one of the proposals put forward was voted down by two votes and brexit has a real impact on the north, would Sine Fein not take theirs seats and actually do some good for the north.

    1. Liam

      people keep mentioning SF, but I still think the chances of it happening are nil, it’s fundamental to them that they not take their seats.

      as for doing good for the north, they may well regard a hard Brexit (and even some resulting low-level disorder up north) as being beneficial to their long-term aims, even if they won’t say that publicly.

      1. Rob_G

        They wouldn’t even have to take their seats though; even threatening to do so would probably do the trick. By categorically ruling out this option, they effectively through away their ace in the hole needlessly.

  3. eoin

    What does Barnier even mean? What was the chance of no deal before, what is it now?

    To add some context,
    Banks think there’s a 15-20% chance of no deal
    Bookmakers think there’s a 25-30% chance of no deal
    Everyone seems to agree that market values – stocks, currencies, bonds and even property – are not reflecting the chances of no deal.

    1. Rob_G

      Bookies and banks also thought that the Brexit referendum wouldn’t pass in the first place, so I wouldn’t treat their predictions as gospel.

  4. GiggidyGoo

    This situation is crying out for an agreement between the EU and UK for the orderly withdrawal of the UK. One signed by both that should contain something like a backstop that is cast iron and bulletproof. Pity such an agreement hasn’t been made.

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