@Independent_ie a sample of 100 without any quota controls has a margin of error of about + or – 15% of more!
— Richard Colwell (@REDCMD) October 4, 2013
Although based on a small number of voters in a specific area, the exit poll for Independent.ie indicates the margin will be far closer than opinion polls indicates and the result is too close to call. The exit poll of just 100 voters showed the Yes and No vote neck-and-neck. The poll was taken at four polling stations in County Laois today, immediately after voters had cast their ballots. The tally for the day, from the unscientific sample, worked out at 53pc Yes to 47pc No – making the outcome far from clear cut.
The exit poll revealed a pattern of a far stronger No vote than predicted by the opinion polls.
Seanad referendum too close to call: Independent.ie exit poll reveals (Independent.ie)
David Higgins writes:
If I were to present a poll like this in one of my statistics classes I’d be laughed out of the room. Maybe I’m being overly nerdy here, but it’s a gross abuse of statistics to claim that this poll means anything, especially when it’s being taken in only one county….
Meanwhile….
Brigid Breathnach writes:
Some last minute bilingual electioneering in the polling station in An Spidéal, Co. Galway
