Tag Archives: Seanad Referendum

9031626490210217(Assembling the polling station at the Labour Relations Commission, Haddington Road, Dublin, on Friday morning above and Dan Boyle at a Green Party think-in in 2011)

Dan Boyle writes:

Logic should have been to stay away, not to get involved. However much cynicism there was at what was being proposed and why, it seemed virtually certain that any proposal to abolish The Seanad would be guaranteed to succeed.

But democracy demands that arguments are made and heard. Even if those who wanted to make this case did so more out of hope than confidence. As time went on it seemed that the cynicism against politics that Enda Kenny wanted to ruthlessly use, was turning an opposite direction because of the hollowness and lack of sincerity people were sensing from the creator of this referendum.

Even then it still didn’t seem possible that a campaign could be won, the confidence being gained was that at least a fist could be made of it. It was a campaign of stimulating interest not winning hearts and minds. No person part of the NO campaign wanted to or was able to defend The Seanad as it is.

However it was also becoming clear that neither was The Seanad the repository of everything that is wrong with Irish politics, as an increasingly snide Fine Gael YES campaign was trying to portray.

While NO campaigners were at least being encouraged by having what felt like the stronger and far more sincere arguments, opinion polls and bookmakers were telling us otherwise.

The supposed strength of the Yes vote didn’t seem real either though. In whatever engagement there was with the general public in this campaign, and in truth it was little enough, there was no overwhelming sense that this was a burning issue for many people at all. In itself this was a factor that ended up turning many votes into the No column – that a question was being asked that few had wanted to be asked, when so many issues of greater seriousness were being sidelined.

What the opinion polls and bookies were not picking up was the difference between a soft yes and a hard no, as well as the army of the indifferent – fast becoming the dominant force in Irish politics these days.

Damage has been caused by this referendum. The damage will be most felt, and quite properly so, by The Taoiseach himself. This didn’t have to be done now or in the way it was. His and his government’s commitment to real political reform has been shown to be vacuous.

Then there is the collateral damage done to Sinn Féin whose plan to jump on the cynicism bandwagon has ‘blown up’ in its face.

Not that there are any real winners either. We are where we were with an imperfect political architecture and a political culture unable, or more probably incapable of changing itself. At best we have a springboard to have the debate that has been so long avoided, about the quality of our politics.

This debate should not only be about politicians or their parties but in opening ways in which the public does and can engage with political institutions. It has to be a deeper debate than the charade we’ve just had.

Dan Boyle is a member of the Green Party

(Mark Stedman and Sasko Lazarov/Photocall Ireland)

referendum results map fixed[Click to embiggen]

Jane from GetBulb writes:

We created this map to show the breakdown of results in the Seanad Referendum. We’re not in the business of political analysis, but we do love getting our spatial representation on.

The scale runs from blue (majority “yes” vote, yes being those in favour of abolishing the Seanad) to red (dark red showing a majority “no” vote). The patterns are interesting, in that the areas that returned a majority “no” vote roughly correspond to parts of the country that have larger urban centres, or are in the commuter belt for Dublin.

 

Election results at a glance

 

90314390(From left: Simon Harris, Regina O’Doherty and Richard Bruton, Fine Gael’s Seanad Referendum campaign team)

Privately, they consume them as voraciously as a stray dog coming upon a scrap of food. The bigger parties, especially Fine Gael over the past decade, have been huge consumers of private polling. You can be as sure as night follows day the two lowest common denominator slogans that dominated Fine Gael’s posters – save €20 million and fewer politicians – came straight out of focus-group polling.

That was borne out by The Irish Times poll this week which showed that despite all the criticism of it being a “cheap shot”, the €20 million slogan was the pay-off line for the Yes campaign, with 43 per cent of Yes voters citing it.

 

Politicians publicly dismiss polling but are in fact in thrall to it (Harry McGee, Irish Times)

 

polling

 

With a week to go, the Yes side was comfortably ahead. The Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll conducted the previous weekend indicated a 24-point margin in favour of abolishing the Seanad. Then it vanished.

 

Why the voters proved the polls wrong on the day (Damian Loscher, irish Times)

(Mark Stedman/Photocall Ireland)

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903166029031658590316562-190316558Scenes from Dublin Castle this evening as returns gave a victory for the ‘No’ side in the referendum to abolish the senate and a yes to the introduction of a court of appeal.

From top: Fine Gael’s referendum campaign team, from left: Simon Harris, Richard Bruton and Regina O’Doherty, Enda Kenny; Eamon Gilmore and Alex White; from left Senator sFeargal Quinn, Senator Dr Katherine Zappone, John Crown and Micheal Martin, and Senators Darragh O’Brien and David Norris.

As It Happened: Govt defeated in referendum to abolish Seanad (RTE)

(Sam Boal/Photocall Ireland)

 

Although based on a small number of voters in a specific area, the exit poll for Independent.ie indicates the margin will be far closer than opinion polls indicates and the result is too close to call. The exit poll of just 100 voters showed the Yes and No vote neck-and-neck. The poll was taken at four polling stations in County Laois today, immediately after voters had cast their ballots. The tally for the day, from the unscientific sample, worked out at 53pc Yes to 47pc No – making the outcome far from clear cut.
The exit poll revealed a pattern of a far stronger No vote than predicted by the opinion polls.

Seanad referendum too close to call: Independent.ie exit poll reveals (Independent.ie)

David Higgins writes:

If I were to present a poll like this in one of my statistics classes I’d be laughed out of the room. Maybe I’m being overly nerdy here, but it’s a gross abuse of statistics to claim that this poll means anything, especially when it’s being taken in only one county….

Meanwhile….

spiddalBrigid Breathnach writes:

Some last minute bilingual electioneering in the polling station in An Spidéal, Co. Galway

 

90316300(Seanad and Court of Appeal Referendum polling places for Dublin South East)

Derval writes:

I am one of the people affected by the “due to technical errors, your Polling Information Card for the Referendums was not printed”.

I received a letter yesterday telling me that this does not affect my right to vote and my Polling Place and Details are set out below: Polling Station: ST. JAMES PRIMARY SCHOOL

There is no address mentioned whatsoever. I had to google this school and the only address I could find was for Basin Lane. Basin Lane doesn’t exist on Google Maps. It also doesn’t exist on an A-Z map of Dublin that I have.

Anyway, I decided to go along to my usual voting place which is the Mater Dei primary school at Basin View to ask them where St. James Primary School is. It turns out that it is on the same street – Basin View. I suspect that a lot of people might have difficulty finding the location. Do you think the government have done this on purpose to get a lower voting turnout?

Previously: Dublin Polling Card Drama

(Sam Boal/Photocall Ireland)

90316293 90316294 90316296“Sup?

Lucinda Creighton of the Refrom Alliance at St Mary’s National School, Donnybrook, Dublin voting to save the Seanad DEMOCRACY this morning.

How did YOU vote?

(Sam Boal/Photocall Ireland)

Meanwhile, in Shankill…

90316305 90316307Eamon Gilmore and constituent Zoe Phillips at Scoil Mhuire in Shankill, Co Dublin this morning. Zoe apparently gave the Tanaiste a “piece of her mind” before and after voting.

Meanwhile, In Drumcondra

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Fine Gael Yes campaign leader Richard Bruton at Drumcondra National Sccool, Drumcondra, Dublin.

(Mark Stedman/Photocall Ireland)