This morning’s Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI opinion poll

Um.

In Dublin, Fine Gael’s Frances Fitzgerald is on course to top the poll at 22 per cent, followed by Fianna Fáil’s Barry Andrews on 18 per cent. Four candidates are likely to fight it out for the last two seats – Sinn Féin MEP Lynn Boylan (13 per cent), Independents 4 Change TD Clare Daly (10 per cent), Ciarán Cuffe of the Green Party (9 per cent) and Labour’s Alex White, who is on 8 per cent.

Hmm.

Latest poll shows FG on track to top all three European constituencies (Irish Times)

44 thoughts on “Blue Wave

  1. Spaghetti Hoop

    She’s USELESS and corrupt.How can she be at 22%?
    And voting for TDs that you THINK were hard-working all goes out the window when you vote them in as MEPs because most of them don’t turn up for meetings and plenaries. If we could have some accountability from Brussels that would be great.

    1. Jonner

      depends on where and how the poll was conducted.
      very cynical approach aiming to turn those who are easily influenced. nothing new unfortunately.

    2. scottser

      i have noticed that fitzgerald’s campaign posters are the only ones that haven’t yellowed with the weather. either she’s a vampire or FG are showing their usual cheap-ass short-termism again.

  2. Dr.Fart MD

    just goes to show, FG shouldn’t worry about negative stories about them in the public, seems that literally no one cares. They’ll just roll on out and vote for them anyway. I’ve literally only ever heard Fitzgeralds name attached to controversary. What positive has she done? What is she doing that makes people support her? WHAT THE FUPP IS WRONG WITH EVERYONE?? First FF destroy the country, then theyre back in government after one term. Now FG have further damaged the country on top of what FF did and people are still supporting them too.

    1. rotide

      “First FF destroy the country, then theyre back in government after one term.”

      Sorry, what?

      1. Dr.Fart MD

        FF were in power. They destroyed the country, they were voted OUT of power after that, then the next election they got back in joint power with FG

          1. Dr.Fart MD

            what is there position in gov. before the crash? what was it after? and what is it now?

    2. GiggidyGoo

      If you ask 16 people their opinions on an all ireland final when they’re leaving Croke Park would you think that would truly reflect the opinions of the 80,000 people that were in the stadium?

      1. Cian

        Yes?
        If you asked a representative (a mix of both side’s supporters) sample the following questions:
        1. What team do you support?
        2. What team won? & what was the score?
        3. What team deserved to win?
        4. Was it a fair game?
        I think you would get a very good idea of who the All Ireland, and the general opinion of the people that attended.

        The radio, TV and papers will all have reviews of the game – written by an individual!!!

        1. GiggidyGoo

          Yep. Thanks for making my point. The polling companies are going to the same well of people for their polls. Same supportees. Hence getting the same answers. No doubt you’re signed up yourself.
          Election polls, two weeks away, bear little resemblance to the final result. These polls and headlines are manipulative.

          1. Cian

            Your point was (I think) that polling 16 people out of 80,000 couldn’t result in a general opinion of what the 80,000 think.
            You have now changed this to say that the 16 people are all FG supporters… or something.

            Tell you what. Put your money where your mouth is. I bet you €10 that FG will top the polls (get most 1st preference votes) in each area – with Frances, Mairead and Seán.

    1. Daisy Chainsaw

      They left out the joke candidates like O’Doherty, Gilroy, Herman et al. They’re polling so badly they’re not even registering. Gilroy and Herman are sharing 0% between them.

    1. italia'90

      Tell us Tom, do they still click their heels and make that funny salute at EPP Secret Social gatherings?
      Vote FG – get Francoists, Nazi’s and fascist reich wingers.

      1. Qwerty123

        Haha, i’m surprised by the surprise that the largest party in the state polls well. Literally no alternative.

  3. MaryLou's ArmaLite

    It just shows that the vocal commentators on broadsheet and thejournal are deluded and out of touch.

    Empty vessels make the most noise, and SF/IRA are a noisy lot.

    1. millie st murderlark

      Tell me, have you ever considered trying a topic of conversation where there’s an SF shoehorn?

      It’s very intriguing.

      1. MaryLou's ArmaLite

        Indeed

        SF/IRA bots pollute the message sections of every article with their nonsense, and it is nonsense.

        I have no allegiance with any party, I tend to go more with competence that anything, and I will never vote SF or FF. Not that I have a dislike of left leaning policy, I just dislike the authoritarian nature of SF and their bully boys. Europe already knows the dangers of Nationalist Socialism with Authoritarian tendencies, they became known as the Nazis, we do not need their type.

        1. deluded

          Sinn Féin/IRA are direct products of the Northern Ireland apartheid machine. Instead of an up-to-date representative democracy they have a welfare state largely controlled by a medieval cult propping up a foreign monarchist separatist movement.
          (I was amazed to hear that the Social Democratic and Labour Party are aligned with Fianna Fáil, are Fine Gael aligned with Unionism?
          Strange bedfellows if they are).

    2. Ian-O

      The irony is strong with this one.

      People are afraid of a return to the recession and view FG as the least worst option, that’s all.

      I’m not and never was a SF voter as I disagree with their politics on certain matters, but your utter nonsense above smacks of the type of unimaginative crap one would expect from a life long FFG supporter who supports them because their Mammy & Daddy did.

      I for one do not support either of the two sides of FFG because I find them inept, dishonest, corrupt and downright insulting for a whole raft of reasons. Pointing out the flaws of SF, PBP, Lab, Greens, SD and other does not negate this.

      Francis Fitzgerald was not ‘exonerated’ anymore than Trump was – they could not show she was involved in a campaign against him, but she was certainly guilty of a whole lot of incompetence, inlcuding an inabilty to remember key facts or give truthful accounts to the Dail.

      Basically, she is either incompetent and/or corrupt but definitely incompetent and has a track record of changing statements because certain people need really good memories and she certainly doesn’t appear to.

  4. Joe Small

    MRBI are a reputable polling company. R
    Responses on here seem to suggest the poll is crooked or that “people are stupid”.
    Isn’t this what democracy is all about?

    1. Andyourpointiswhatexactly?

      Depressingly, yes. I wish everyone else was as brilliant and right as I am.

  5. Birdie

    I think this poll with have an opposite effect on voters. It’s a nice catalyst to do the opposite.

  6. Vanessa (spiritually) Frilly Keane

    Has anyone checked to see if this is a
    Paid For
    Yoke
    Like the good news spin units advertorials there a while back

    No way is McGuinness polling that far ahead of Matt the Shinner
    An’ are we seriously t’ believe the Blueshurts have doubled their % in a Constituency where their lad was the guts and more of 14,000
    Yep fourteen thousand votes
    Short of the quota last time out

    Who are they trying ta’ cod

    That IT splash feckin stinks of product placement t’me

    Note it lads
    Cause I’m going to come back to this when the 1st tallies come in

    Sum’ting else
    If that Kerry hoor tops that South Poll
    There’ll be some blood on the dance floor By the time I’m finished with a couple a bucks down there

    Jesus Christ
    Get it together Billy FFS
    No way is Barry’s Tea Clune polling that close t’ ya
    And Malcolm Byrne is nowhere near a double digit

    Ah this is just messing

  7. Rob_G

    The most fun part of Broadsheet is seeing the usual suspects left completely flabbergasted by opinion polls reflecting the fact that the economy is doing well and, housing crisis aside*, the country is doing fairly ok.

    *this is a fairly big aside if you are actually trying to rent a place, it is true

    1. Vanessa (spiritually) Frilly Keane

      C’mere Rob

      I’m not flabbergasted
      Not even a twinge bhoy
      That the main parties run the show
      And that they’ve gotten stronger
      Bolshier and election management smarter

      All helped by a mangle of Indos and Left ta’ Socialist gang bangs that couldn’t even manage a lotto syndicate together

      The more settled, familiar faced, and organised parties have demonstrated that the electorate want stability
      The safety of numbers
      And herd behaviour

      Naturally there will always be the outstanding solo acts
      Daly
      Ming
      Wallace
      And eff them anyways
      The Healy FFsRayz

      But that IT Banner Header there today was a Put-Piece
      No doubt about it

      Fine Gael simply have not gone from 15% on the EU’14 ticket to 29% on the 2019 ticket in Dublin

      Or from circa 20% ta 28% in South

      37% from 20 ish in Midlands NW

      Ah stop
      A bitta cop on
      Please

      1. Rob_G

        There was some substance in amongst the incoherence – and then:

        “… herd behaviour”

        This is, frankly, stupid – ‘voters are sheep because they aren’t as clever as me’ – cop on.

          1. Rob_G

            Tbh it’s very difficult to discern what you mean when you write in that extraordinary way.

            “Ya rhymes with trick ya”

            – charming; words fail Frilly, yet again…

        1. Vanessa (spiritually) Frilly Keane

          Really?

          That’s a pity
          Since you’d no problem finding words to paste me with being condescending about the Irish voter

          Or suggesting I might be stupid

          Thanks for reminding me tho

          T’was around this time last year I got similar snark for calling 67:33

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