Irish Times’ depiction of how ‘one shop worker’ in the Midlands managed to ‘infect’ a further 54 people
This morning.
It’s a web.
A web of CONTAGION!
Via The Irish Times:
The web of contagion from the initial “index case” in the shop, recorded in April and May, spread to 12 families, 15 households, a food takeaway, a secondary school and a creche. Nine people were directly infected by a shop worker attending the extended family gathering.
One person who attended the party infected five co-workers in a food takeaway from where the virus spread to four other households and the creche, where four people were infected.
Three infected people in the creche spread the virus to six other people in their families.
…The transmission across the 55 cases involved the virus spreading through “seven generations” as it passed from person to person.
Mmm. Sciencey.
Seems legit.
Spread of Covid-19 from shop worker led to 54 people becoming infected (Irish Times)
Second generation family time!!!
Wedding, Funeral, Other Business?
This could be a great gameshow…
You best be keepin your fancy science mouth shut boy.
You’re in Q country now
i like kittens
Lies and Deciet, I am making fun of the ‘web of contagion’ which I find completely absurd. I am embarrassed for everyone concerned, even the guy who put together the graph.
i like kittens
I didn’t.
How many of the 54 required hospitalisation, ICU treatment or indeed tragically died? Data like that is also important to highlight.
Of the 252,808 cases in Ireland (to Week 18 2021)
14,387 were hospitalised (5.7%)
4,652 died (1.8%)
Statistically, in a random group of 54 cases
3.0783 of them end up in hospital.0.9721 died.https://www.hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coronavirus/novelcoronavirus/surveillance/epidemiologyofcovid-19inirelandweeklyreports/COVID-19%20Weekly%20Report_Slidset_HPSC_%20Week_18_WEB_20210511.pdf
Given where we are at with the pandemic and what we know about Covid, it would be foolish to apply that logic equally across the 54. After all, Covid effects age groups and demographics differently.
The flu spreads in the same way.
It does.
But it isn’t as dangerous.
It can be fatal. But we don’t see such graphs and reports about it. I’m with Bodger’s reply to ies and Deceit above
We do.
– If there is a bad flu season the papers are full of it.
– There are campaigns every year to get the flu vaccine.
– It is a notifiable disease and there are weekly reports produced by HPSC (and European and global level)
– We also use PCR tests to detect the flu.
It is like Covid, just not as dangerous.
Aye, but we don’t get the type of presentation (contact tracing) like above, for flu.
You’re wrong there, Cian. The balance between younger & older people is different, Influenza is more dangerous than Sars02, for younger people, less so for older folks, nobody under 17 died in Ireland from Covid, the Flu season often kills people in that age group. This roughly balances out, so the two viruses are similar in seriousness. I should say they were, because since Sars02 is endemic by now, it’s far less dangerous than last season’s Flu. Sars02 will become ever less serious but Influenza, because of it’s unique genome, will produce an entirely different version next Winter so, unless the Chinese are working on a follow-up, Sars02 has done it’s worst. None of this is based on personal opinion, just biology, facts & figures.
LOL
These maps are sort of lesson 1 in the ‘how to be an epidemiologist’ class, and you’d expect to see something like this accompany any outbreak invesigation. I do agree that whatever editor signed off on that to fill up some inches in the Irish Times should have his head examined.
Why is ”managed to ‘infect’ a further 54…” written with the inverted commas? Has Ivor Cummings taken over the site?
No- Sunetra Gupta and Carl Heneghan are doing a job share.
Wow. Some folk can’t get enough fear and paranoia. You STILL have a 98% chance MINIMUM of surviving. I’m starting to wonder if the hardcore conspiracy theory that this vax program is actually a cull of idiots might be in fact true.
Indeed, the plan is to cull all of the idiots with vaccines, leaving behind the elites, Aisling O’Loughlin, Bodger, your man from the Corrs and John Waters.
I wish it was “hardcore”, I wish it was even fanciful but the effect of using a kind of man-made virus, which is a reasonably accurate description of a piece of encapsulated mRNA, to produce adaptive immune response to a Coronavirus is entirely unknown. I’m hoping the jabs will not interfere with later immune responses to HCoVs but I don’t know if that’s the case & neither does anyone else, the possibility very much exists, however. It’s highly unlikely the jabs will produce long-term immunity, so I’m hoping any possible damage to the natural perfection of our immune systems, which have protected us from Coronaviruses for millenia, is similarly short-term. If it wasn’t for the campaign of fear from governments & the media, these jabs would never, ever have been rolled out, the risk of large numbers of people being exposed to experimental technology is huge, especially considering the fact that the technology has NEVER succeeded before, if it had, it would cease being “experimental”.