Tag Archives: The Lancet

This morning.

The Lancet, a weekly medical journal, has published a new Covid-19 modelling research article.

It tweetz:

First comprehensive hospitalisation estimates from mainland China and latest death rate estimates to help countries prepare as global pandemic unfolds.

Nearly one in five over-80 year olds infected with Covid-19 are likely to require hospitalisation, compared with around 1% of people younger than 30 years old, with hospitalisation estimates found to increase with age.

The death rate from confirmed Covid-19 cases is estimated at 1.38%, while the overall death rate including unconfirmed cases, is estimated at 0.66%; rates are lower than past estimates, given adjustments for demographics and undetected symptomatic cases.

Authors warn: Without intervention, number of people with Covid-19 needing hospital treatment is likely to overwhelm even advanced health-care systems worldwide, but caution that outcomes could improve and estimates should be revised as pandemic unfolds.

Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis (The Lancet)

ireu5

[Screengrab from a study entitled ‘Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013’ published in The Lancet today. Click to enlarge]

Barry writes:

A new study of death rates in children under 5 was published today in The Lancet. According to the study, Ireland has the third worst child death rate in western Europe, with 4.6 deaths per thousand births. Malta, with 7 deaths per thousand births, ranks worst in western Europe, with the UK coming in second on 4.9 deaths per thousand births.

This puts us far behind other western European countries like Iceland (2.4), Sweden (2.7) and Norway (3.0).

Pretty interesting figures in the context of the resounding rejection by GPs of the Government’s plan for free GP care to under sixes, no?

I also can’t wait to hear Iona, Youth Defence, the Life Institute, etc. coming out in force to lobby for something to be done. After all, they care about children. ..don’t they?

Anyone?

Read report in full here