The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent US presidential elections.

The final poll included 1,107 likely voters, and is based on weighted results of 361 Democrats, 333 Republicans, and 381 people who identify as independents or other. The final poll, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, was conducted from Nov. 4 through Nov. 7.

The poll shows Clinton doing better among women (44% to 40%), minorities (64% to 13%), urban voters (56% to 25%), the nonreligious (55% to 22%), and union households (48% to 41%).

Trump does better among men (46% to 38%), whites (51% to 34%), investors (48% to 42%), rural voters (58% to 29%) and those who describe themselves as working class (43% to 42%) or lower-class households (41% to 30%).

Trump also does better among independents (39% to 31%), with Johnson capturing a strong 16% of this group’s support.


Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: Final IBD/TIPP Poll Results (IBD)

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63 thoughts on “To The Wire

  1. SOQ

    The biggest impact at this stage will be turn out, mainly favoring Madame President. It really does have a great ring to it so I’ll say it again, Madame President.

      1. ahjayzis

        Which candidate is under investigation for scamming students? Which candidate doesn’t pay suppliers and they go out of business?

        1. Mr Reality

          You carefully avoided Hillarys uber slimey past there, kindly close the doras on your way out xxx

          1. ahjayzis

            Ah hEyA hUn! xXx

            I didn’t – i pointed out Trump is a liar, a hypocrite, does not keep his word, has failed in business, has no leadership experience, has sacrificed nothing for his country, has never done a day’s public service in his life.

            Against that, in a two-horse race, Clinton’s past is irrelevant, it’s him or her and I’m not a fascist :o)

          2. Mr Reality

            Yea your for a democracy shelling fake terror sponsoring fugee death squad spreading fake terror lying fraud of a candidate, congratulations well done

        2. Termagant

          The Trump University case is a federal lawsuit which essentially boils down to false advertising

          The Clinton Foundation case, however, is a federal investigation into probable corruption and collusion with foreign heads of state to pervert the course of US politics

          Sometimes all it takes to tell the truth is a little perspective ¦:¬) 8^D c-; /

          1. Nigel

            Sometimes all it takes to tell the truth is an election campaign on the behalf of a truly terrible candidate generating a barrage of astonishingly stupid lies and conspiracy theories about the rival candidate and hysterically blowing every real, but minor transgression out of proportion in order to shore up a base that has demonstrated little interest in the truth, such that when something possibly devastating comes along it gets lost in the noise because it was leaked at the last minute in such a way as to suggest more cynical manipulative noise.

            Blame Clinton partisans all you want for ignoring inconvenient truths – hardly an uncommon occurrence in a hotly contested election. Blame Republicans for nominating a man so unsuited to the office that the only way to keep him afloat was to create an insanely toxic disinformation environment where something like this gets lost in the noise. If true. All sorts of credibility has been wrecked on the rocks of Trump’s shore, as it were, Bodger and WikiLeaks amongst them.

          2. Termagant

            Yeah, all right Nige, great stuff

            The fact remains that if we’re having an investigation-off Trump’s not going to lose

      1. ahjayzis

        You’re the one spraining your neck to lick the boot that’s trying to stamp on a human face forever.

        Newsflash human-misery, you’re not going to be in the higher echelons of the white fascist police state you wet dream about.

  2. Willie Banjo

    Oh Bodger, Bodger, Bodger….it ain’t gonna even be close my friend. But, hey, on the upside you’ve got four years of tinfoil hat ranting at madame President ahead of you.

  3. DubLoony

    Does this include all the voting that has already gone one?
    How many of those called actually responded?

    1. Nigel

      I recommend mindfulness, meditation and controlled breathing. That should get you through the next 24-48 hours.

  4. Cool_Hand_Lucan

    Read a piece in the Guardian that stated 22% of Trump supporters believe he will start a nuclear war if elected President. Not could, will!

    Let that sink in.

  5. Steve

    I am Clin-Ton. As overlord , all will kneel trembling before me and obey my brutal commands. End communication.

    1. Lorcan Nagle

      My fellow Americans. As a young boy, I dreamed of being a baseball. But tonight I say, we must move forward, not backward, upward not forward, and always twirling, twirling, twirling towards freedom.

  6. DubLoony

    6 million people in Florida have already voted. Given the democrats stronger get the vote out campaign, am willing to bet they are not voting for Trump.

  7. Whatever

    It’s a horrible choice – on one side you’ve Trump, who epitomises everything wrong with Capitalism versus Clinton who represents everything wrong with “establishment” politicians.

    One made their millions thanks to bailouts, reneging on supplier contracts and outsourcing US jobs to China, the other made tens of millions using while abusing their position as Secretary of State.

    1. Mr Reality

      + 300,000,000 whatever, it’s a communist v a national socialist, any you go your screwed, May aswell be Stalin(Hillary) v Hitler(trump)

    2. Clampers Outside

      “while abusing their position as Secretary of State”

      And morally fupped for using a charity for personal wealth enrichment. Go Hillary my aye.

      Yes, Trump’s a Tuesday fupper, I know.

      1. ahjayzis

        Trump bought a portrait of himself for tens of thousands of dollars with the money from the Trump Foundation – a family charity he hasn’t personally contributed to in decades.

        Just come out and say if you don’t like women or brown people, you just look like an idiot pretending this caricature of a narcissistic psychopath bully is in any way presidential material.

        1. Termagant

          jayzis I’d just like to take this opportunity to say with heartfelt sincerity that you are, to my eyes, the least entertaining and least effective poster on the whole of this beautiful website

    1. Dόn Pídgéόní

      Quite. Also any link to the veracity of this particular poll? Not being promoted by pollsters I’m aware of

    1. SOQ

      I don’t really understand their electoral system but the core election is different in a number of ways.

      The demographics have changed meaning less traditional republican voters. read that as white prods. And it will do again more by the next 4 years of course.

      Both parties have made substantial inroads into each other’s base and also, lost from their own. Working class to Trump and conservatives to Hillary etc. Very hard to gauge that one when you have the likes of the Bush crew supporting Hillary.

      And then there is voter turnout. They said last night on the BBC that in black areas it was a high as 95%. That is practically all Democrat.

      But the most unpredictable angle is negative or tactical voting. In plain English, who is hated most and in IMO that is Trump. Women in particular are going to mobilise against him and there is no point blaming a rigged system or biased media because that is entirely his own doing.

  8. dav

    “But this isn’t close, and never was. The evidence right there in front of you, if you care to notice. Donald Trump has never led in an aggregate of polls for any significant stretch of time. He hasn’t personally raised any money for his campaign in over a month. He lost all three debates. He’s made virtually no effort to get his voters to the polls, instead relying on a Republican party that is being badly outspent and reduced to waging repugnant (and likely illegal) voter-suppression efforts that—despite being successful in some small areas—will ultimately turn legions more voters against them.”

  9. ahjayzis

    Remember when it was socially unacceptable to egg on a lying, racist, sexist, bullying demagogue of a plutocrat?

    Remember that Bodger?

        1. Nigel

          You want to put him in charge of the shelling, mass murdering and war profiteering. What a fantastic, and extremely safe, idea.

  10. Starina

    if he wins i cant wait to see you squirm around making excuses when he starts bombing the sh1t out of everyone

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