90387492Michael Taft

From top: Taoiseach Enda Kenny at the Low Pay Commission report on the minimum wage last year; Michael Taft

The relationship between wages and competitiveness is not a crude reductionist equation.

We pay a real cost for our low wage levels.

Michael Taft writes:

There is a narrative among the Left that claims that capital has not wasted the recessionary opportunity, that capital has exploited the crisis to depress wages in order to boost profits.

We should, of course, be sceptical about such sweeping narratives. We live in a complicated, complex world where exceptions and caveats invariably rule.

So let’s test this claim and see if it holds – at least in Ireland; at least on the issue of wages.

There are many ways to measure wages (Dr. Tom Healy of the Nevin Economic Research Institute looks at it this way). I will use employee compensation as a percentage of Gross National Income (GNI).

Employee Compensation: this is made up of the direct wage (what the employer pays the employee) and the ‘social’ wage (what the employer pays into a social insurance or similar fund – out of which employees access public services at below-market costs such as health, and in-work benefits such as sick-pay, maternity benefit, etc.).

Gross National Income: this is essentially GNP. This is not an optimal benchmark as it excludes a significant amount of wealth that is generated in the economy.

However, it does have the advantage of excluding both multi-national profits that are generated in other countries but end up here for tax avoidance purposes, along with profits that are actually generated here but then repatriated. Therefore, GNI is the bottom-line of bottom-lines.

So how do Irish workers fare?

1

We don’t fare well.

Up to the crash, when wages were rising, Ireland was still below the main European comparators – the EU-15, Northern and Central European economies (NCEE – this excludes the poorer Mediterranean countries), and other small open economies – (Other SOE, countries with a similar open, export-dependent structure: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland and Sweden).

When the crash hit, the graph shows Irish wages spiking but one has to be careful. Between 2007 and 2009 wages rose – as a proportion of GNI (from 46 to 52 percent of GNI); yet, during this period total wages actually fell by 6 percent. In fact total wages fell a further 8 percent up to 2012.

The reason for the spike is not rising wages but falling national income.

But as we came out of the recession, wages didn’t recover their pre-crash levels. Between 2000 and 2007, Irish wage levels averaged 44.2 percent of GNI. In 2017, the EU estimates this will have fallen to 39.6 percent.

2

And it’s not like Ireland is a ‘poor’ country.

When we measure GNI per capita we find that Irish levels are 10 percent higher than the EU-15, marginally ahead of Northern and Central European economies and at that same level as other small open economies.

Unite the Union recently published its The Truth About Irish Wages. Using EU labour cost data it found that Irish wages are well below the European benchmarks.

But the real story is how low Irish wages in low-paid sectors are.

3

Irish compensation levels in these sectors are well below the average of other European countries – well below.

The Irish low-paid are ultra-low paid.

Some might argue that we need low wages so that our exports are/become/remain competitive. However, other small open economies have much higher wage levels than we do and it doesn’t seem to affect their export levels.

Further, in our main export sectors – chemicals/pharmaceuticals and the information & communication sector – our wages are at average European levels. These sectors haven’t been affected negatively.

The relationship between wages and competitiveness is not a crude reductionist equation.We pay a real cost for our low wage levels.

First, is the low level of tax revenues. Taxes on labour are higher than taxes on capital. Therefore, when the latter is privileged, tax revenues are not optimised.

Second, our business sector suffers from low levels of consumer income. This not only affects businesses that primarily sell into the domestic markets; it makes it difficult for domestic businesses to transition to export markets.

Moving into exports requires a considerable investment which higher sales revenue from domestic income can help finance.

Third, it affects workers’ living standards and especially those in sectors that are reliant on discretionary spend; less revenue coming into sectors like restaurants means less money that goes on pay.

So, yes, those lefties and their sweeping narrative appear to be on to something. Now we have to start debating how we write another narrative.

Growing wages to the European level – including both direct and social wages – is one of our main challenges. We need a strategy to make a fundamental shift from an economy reliant on low wages and low-paid sectors.

This goes beyond just increasing wages. It is about creating high-road employment and businesses that are focused on investment, R&D, re-skilling and innovation, rather than sweating labour.

The big question is: do we have the capitalists to do that?

And if we don’t, what do we do then?

Michael Taft is Research Officer with Unite the Union. His column appears here every Tuesday. He is author of the political economy blog, Unite’s Notes on the Front. Follow Michael on Twitter: @notesonthefront

larry

Larry, the Downing Street cat.

An unfortunate foolhardy knave
Who once said we should call him Dave
Has just been told that
He must give his cat
A final and sad goodbye wave.

John Moynes

Pics: Rex/Barcroft Images

Screen Shot 2016-07-11 at 16.33.14

This afternoon.

David Cameron announces that Theresa May will become Britain’s new Prime Minister on Wednesday.

Meanwhile….

Alex Campbell tweetz:

David Cameron humming to himself and saying “right…good” after announcing he’ll step aside on Wednesday.

Cameron will resign on Wednesday, handing the keys to No 10 to May – Politics live (The Guardian)

Previously: I Want To Spend More Time With My Family

Screen Shot 2016-07-11 at 15.43.45

Minister for Children Katherine Zappone launching the Rape Crisis Network of Ireland’s report on sexual violence against members of the LGBT community earlier today

Minister for Children Katherine Zappone spoke to Audrey Carville on RTÉ’s News At One today.

It followed Ms Zappone launching the Rape Crisis Network of Ireland’s report on the sexual violence in the LGBT community.

The report was carried out by the RCNI with Gay Switchboard Ireland and the Gay & Lesbian Equality Network (GLEN).

After discussing the findings of the report, Ms Carville raised the defeat of Independents 4 Change TD Mick Wallace’s bill…

During the interview, Ms Zappone said:

“…What I find is, in my work both going around the country and also in working with frontline agencies, such as the Rape Crisis Network represents, is that people want to talk to me about childcare, child homelessness, repealing the 8th – those are the issues that they’re concerned about and they’re looking to Government to do something about. Those are the issues on the minds and hearts of our people.”

“I have been an advocate, as a feminist really, for the past 30 years to change the constitution with regard to abortion. I think we live in a country where there’s way too much restriction on the legislation for women to access, in times of certain circumstances what they require when they are pregnant.”

“Having said that, I did study the bill, very carefully. Obviously, I listened to and accepted the advice of the Attorney General, I talked to other legal advisors, I talked to medical professionals and concluded that it actually wouldn’t bring about the desired effect of the authors of the bill.”

“So I expect probably, if I had been in Opposition, I would have voted against it as well.”

“My primary objective is that we would get some constitutional change in relation to the 8th amendment. I think to call one [a referendum] now – I’m not convinced yet that enough people are with us, especially those who are still to be persuaded, part of middle Ireland, to say yes, they agree finally that there are various circumstances where women do, in very difficult circumstances, do the best and the most correct and ethical action to choose abortion or to terminate their pregnancy.”

“So I’m not convinced that our people are ready to pass that referendum and we need more time and I think the process of a Citizens’ Assembly is the best way to move in that direction.”

Listen back in full here

Previously: A Matter Of Conscience

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