Professor Pete Lunn, founder and head of the ESRI’s Behavioural Research Unit
Via The Irish Times:
Prof Pete Lunn, head of behavioural research at think tank ESRI, said that public polling over recent months suggested the public debate was “miles off” the opinion of the majority of the population who want the Government to be more cautious in fighting coronavirus.
…Surveys and evidence gathered on public attitudes towards restrictions are not showing fatigue with the restrictions but “a degree of resilience” and compliance has been “edging up” consistently over recent months, he said.
“That suggests that there is a majority appetite that says, ‘we can cope with this’ and in fact, on balance, the public wants more restriction rather than fewer,” said Prof Lunn, who is a member of a subgroup that has advised NPHET on the public response to the pandemic.
Most people want more, not fewer, restrictions, survey shows – ESRI expert (Irish Times)
Earlier: A Limerick A Day
Previously: Rona Shaming
Professor Alan Barrett this afternoon
At a Special Covid Committee meeting in Dáil Éireann.
[Non-medical] Professor Alan Barrett, Director of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) spoke about the possibility of ‘geographical lockdowns’ and ‘surgical interventions’.
“That notion of having much more sort of targeted lockdowns and, I remember this came up in a discussion that one of my colleagues sitting around the table discussing epidemiology matters was making the point that when you have viruses in animals. OK, it’s very, very clear, you sort of lockdown the group of animals or whatever like that. And you just make sure they don’t move around.
Now at the time it sort of seemed inconceivable that we would think about a human virus in the same way we would think about a virus affecting animals.
But I think, you know, we can actually imagine a situation that geographically, in some shape or form, if a virus could be contained, it would be better to contain one part of the country rather than the whole area or the whole country.
“So I certainly think we should be moving in a direction of having much more sort of surgical lockdowns … surgical interventions to the extent that we can.”
‘I’ve been wondering if people have considered changing where they live because of Covid and in case there’s another pandemic down the road..feels like there might be some kind of virus decentralisation.’
Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2.
Research Professor Kieran McQuinn speaking at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ERSI) media briefing on the quarterly economic commentary, Autumn 2019 confirming a Brexit-related ‘slowdown’ in the ‘underlying economy’.
More as we get it.
Gene Kerrigan tweetz:
It’s comforting to have the ESRI experts assure us there’s no housing bubble.
Here’s some more experts…
Related: ESRI says rapid rise in house prices does not signal new bubble (The Irish Times)
Shoppers on Grafton Street
Following January’s reports of consumer sentiment hitting a ten-year high in December…
Consumer sentiment weakened in March on the back of increased economic uncertainty both at home and internationally, a new index shows today.
The KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI consumer sentiment index fell from 105.8 in February to 100.6 in March.
This brought the index to its lowest level in six months and marked the biggest monthly decline since October 2014.
Consumer sentiment at six month low in March (RTE)
[John Fitzgerald of the ESRI]
The ESRI predicted gross national product (GNP), which strips out the effects of multinational profit flows, would grow by 3.5 per cent this year, and by 3.7 per cent in 2015, rates of growth not seen since 2006.“After a long period of attrition, we are approaching the end of the very painful period of fiscal adjustment,” it said.
[Sunday Tribune, March 15, 2009]
Ireland is now back on a growth path, says ESRI (irish Times)
Thanks Conor McCabe
“An economist is predicting young Irish people will be forced to live with their parents until they are 35, unless significantly more houses are built. ESRI economist Professor John Fitzgerald says we need around 25,000 new homes every year, but only 10,000 will be built this year.”
Irish people forced to live with their parents ’til mid 30s (Newstalk)
GREATER NUMBERS of mothers from eastern Europe and women having babies later are the main reasons for an increase in the percentage of women breastfeeding in Ireland, new research to be presented today shows.
Prof Richard Layte will tell the Dublin conference Breastfeeding in Ireland 2012: Consequences and Policy Responses that non-Irish women are much more likely to breastfeed, but the longer they are resident here, the lower the chances they would do so.
Women resident for less than five years are 10 times more likely to breastfeed than Irish women, but this falls to six times more likely after six to 10 years and 2.4 times more likely after 11 or more years.
“One of the most important determinants of how long a woman will breastfeed is the length of maternity leave. Returning to work part-time increases the risk of stopping breastfeeding by 150 per cent; returning full-time increases the risk by 230 per cent,” he said.
It is, of course, National Breastfeeding Week.
(Pic: Hilary Geelon and son Rhys protesting at Facebook’s Dublin HQ in February: Laura Hutton/Photocall Ireland)
ESRI director Frances Ruane (pictured this morning) and social protection minister Joan Burton both insisted there was no political pressure on the body to withdraw the report.
Taoiseach Enda Kenny also said he would not stand over political involvement. “This is an independent organisation. I could not stand over, and I would not stand over, any contact from Government to an independent organisation to say you must withdraw or take down any particular documentation,” he said.
SF Demand Over Employment Report (irish Independent)
Yesterday: That ESRI Report…Now Withdrawn
(Leon Farrell/Photocall Ireland)