Tag Archives: ESRI

Professor Pete Lunn, Head of the Behavioural Research Unit, ESRI

This morning.

The ESRI’s Professor Pete Lunn said they have found that if you take the proportion of the population each week or each day that visits a cafe, pub or restaurant, the proportion of unvaccinated people going indoors is “a little over half the proportion of the vaccinated”.

Speaking on RTÉ’s Today with Claire Byrne, he said unvaccinated people are not getting into pubs and restaurants as much as vaccinated people are.

“But they are doing so more than half the amount, and in pubs and restaurants a bit more again,” he said.

“Not as much as vaccinated people but not far off, so they’re clearly finding places that they can get in.”

Unvaccinated people ‘finding places they can get in’ – ESRI data (RTÉ)


Via Irish Times:

…That a small cohort would effectively hold society hostage seems profoundly unfair to many, and how this should be tackled is an open question. This, of course, isn’t solely an Irish problem – Austria’s decision to impose lockdowns on the unvaccinated in mid-November was motivated by alarming strain on ICU capacity, driven almost entirely by those shirking vaccination. In Slovakia, Greece, and the Czech Republic similar restrictions have been imposed on vaccine-refusing cohorts for the same reason. Germany has also now introduced strict curbs on unvaccinated people.

Such measures, however, raise passionate ire, frequently decried as an infringement of liberties. But such arguments fail to recognise that others have a reasonable expectation that they should not be needlessly exposed to avoidable dangerous pathogens, nor should selfish stances be allowed imperil the freedom of others.

Such arguments also fail on another level – the unimmunised ultimately reduce the efficacy of vaccination, effectively functioning as human petri dishes. As the virus runs through them, random mutations eventually endow it with the ability to evade vaccines. The dominance of Delta and the emergency….


Small anti-vaccine cohort can’t hold society hostage (David Robert Grimes, Irish Times)



Peanut butter.




Professor Pete Lunn, Head of the Behavioural Research Unit, ESRI speaking to media at the Covid-19 update in the Department of Health today

This afternoon.

“Our social activity measure has recorded increases in multiple forms of social activity — there are more people going to work, more visits to homes, individuals meeting with more people from outside their household, and higher numbers of close contacts.

“This is to be expected as restrictions lift. However, the data also reveal that these increases are much stronger among people who have been vaccinated.

Most people who are not yet vaccinated are continuing to be cautious. Our data are consistent with the majority of people waiting until they are vaccinated before increasing their activity again.”

Professor Pete Lunn, Head of the Behavioural Research Unit, ESRI

Covid: Nphet ‘concerned’ over Indian variant increase as 524 cases confirmed (Breakingnews.ie)




Earlier: You’re Unbelievable


Professor Pete Lunn of the ERSI, at a media briefing yesterday  at the Department of Health

Last night.

At a Department of Health covid briefing.

Professor Pete Lunn, from the ESRI behavioural research unit, said a “small minority” of people are showing more risky behaviour:

“What has happened here is there has been clear slippage in people following the restrictions and primarily it is not that they are rejecting them, it is not that they are saying they don’t believe in them anymore, it is that there is pushing of the boundaries.

“The primary pushing of the boundaries is social visits to other people’s houses and that we would see as being the biggest behaviour change that is risky.”


Dr Ronan Glynn [ Deputy Chief Medical Officer] said if people are mixing in the coming days, they should avoid doing this inside.

“Of course, we are aware that some households are going to do that and are doing that already but what we would say to people is: if you have made the decision to meet up with another household – while that is not our advice at the moment – if you’re going to do it, do it outdoors.”

Meet up in parks, meet up outdoors over the coming days.”

Numbers presenting with Covid symptoms up 50% as ESRI note ‘clear slippage’ in public behaviour (Irish Examiner)



50 computers.

Two coders.

But how much RAM, anyone?

Professor Pete Lunn, founder and head of the ESRI’s Behavioural Research Unit

This morning

Covid fatigue?


Via The Irish Times:

Prof Pete Lunn, head of behavioural research at think tank ESRI, said that public polling over recent months suggested the public debate was “miles off” the opinion of the majority of the population who want the Government to be more cautious in fighting coronavirus.

…Surveys and evidence gathered on public attitudes towards restrictions are not showing fatigue with the restrictions but “a degree of resilience” and compliance has been “edging up” consistently over recent months, he said.

“That suggests that there is a majority appetite that says, ‘we can cope with this’ and in fact, on balance, the public wants more restriction rather than fewer,” said Prof Lunn, who is a member of a subgroup that has advised NPHET on the public response to the pandemic.

Most people want more, not fewer, restrictions, survey shows – ESRI expert (Irish Times)

Earlier: A Limerick A Day

Previously: Rona Shaming


Professor Alan Barrett this afternoon

This afternoon.

At a Special Covid Committee meeting in Dáil Éireann.

[Non-medical] Professor Alan Barrett, Director of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) spoke about the possibility of ‘geographical lockdowns’ and ‘surgical interventions’.

He said:

“That notion of having much more sort of targeted lockdowns and, I remember this came up in a discussion that one of my colleagues sitting around the table discussing epidemiology matters was making the point that when you have viruses in animals. OK, it’s very, very clear, you sort of lockdown the group of animals or whatever like that. And you just make sure they don’t move around.

Now at the time it sort of seemed inconceivable that we would think about a human virus in the same way we would think about a virus affecting animals.

But I think, you know, we can actually imagine a situation that geographically, in some shape or form, if a virus could be contained, it would be better to contain one part of the country rather than the whole area or the whole country.

“So I certainly think we should be moving in a direction of having much more sort of surgical lockdowns … surgical interventions to the extent that we can.”



Orla writes:

‘I’ve been wondering if people have considered changing where they live because of Covid and in case there’s another pandemic down the road..feels like there might be some kind of virus decentralisation.’



Gene Kerrigan tweetz:

It’s comforting to have the ESRI experts assure us there’s no housing bubble.
Here’s some more experts…

Related: ESRI says rapid rise in house prices does not signal new bubble (The Irish Times)

Screen Shot 2016-04-06 at 12.49.32

Shoppers on Grafton Street 

Following January’s reports of consumer sentiment hitting a ten-year high in December…

RTÉ reports:

Consumer sentiment weakened in March on the back of increased economic uncertainty both at home and internationally, a new index shows today.

The KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI consumer sentiment index fell from 105.8 in February to 100.6 in March.

This brought the index to its lowest level in six months and marked the biggest monthly decline since October 2014.

Consumer sentiment at six month low in March (RTE)