Professor Pete Lunn, Head of the Behavioural Research Unit, ESRI speaking to media at the Covid-19 update in the Department of Health today
“Our social activity measure has recorded increases in multiple forms of social activity — there are more people going to work, more visits to homes, individuals meeting with more people from outside their household, and higher numbers of close contacts.
“This is to be expected as restrictions lift. However, the data also reveal that these increases are much stronger among people who have been vaccinated.
“Most people who are not yet vaccinated are continuing to be cautious. Our data are consistent with the majority of people waiting until they are vaccinated before increasing their activity again.”
Professor Pete Lunn, Head of the Behavioural Research Unit, ESRI
Covid: Nphet ‘concerned’ over Indian variant increase as 524 cases confirmed (Breakingnews.ie)
Earlier: You’re Unbelievable
Professor Pete Lunn of the ERSI, at a media briefing yesterday at the Department of Health
At a Department of Health covid briefing.
Professor Pete Lunn, from the ESRI behavioural research unit, said a “small minority” of people are showing more risky behaviour:
“What has happened here is there has been clear slippage in people following the restrictions and primarily it is not that they are rejecting them, it is not that they are saying they don’t believe in them anymore, it is that there is pushing of the boundaries.
“The primary pushing of the boundaries is social visits to other people’s houses and that we would see as being the biggest behaviour change that is risky.”
Dr Ronan Glynn [ Deputy Chief Medical Officer] said if people are mixing in the coming days, they should avoid doing this inside.
“Of course, we are aware that some households are going to do that and are doing that already but what we would say to people is: if you have made the decision to meet up with another household – while that is not our advice at the moment – if you’re going to do it, do it outdoors.”
“Meet up in parks, meet up outdoors over the coming days.”
Numbers presenting with Covid symptoms up 50% as ESRI note ‘clear slippage’ in public behaviour (Irish Examiner)
But how much RAM, anyone?
Professor Pete Lunn, founder and head of the ESRI’s Behavioural Research Unit
Via The Irish Times:
Prof Pete Lunn, head of behavioural research at think tank ESRI, said that public polling over recent months suggested the public debate was “miles off” the opinion of the majority of the population who want the Government to be more cautious in fighting coronavirus.
…Surveys and evidence gathered on public attitudes towards restrictions are not showing fatigue with the restrictions but “a degree of resilience” and compliance has been “edging up” consistently over recent months, he said.
“That suggests that there is a majority appetite that says, ‘we can cope with this’ and in fact, on balance, the public wants more restriction rather than fewer,” said Prof Lunn, who is a member of a subgroup that has advised NPHET on the public response to the pandemic.
Most people want more, not fewer, restrictions, survey shows – ESRI expert (Irish Times)
Earlier: A Limerick A Day
Previously: Rona Shaming
Professor Alan Barrett this afternoon
At a Special Covid Committee meeting in Dáil Éireann.
[Non-medical] Professor Alan Barrett, Director of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) spoke about the possibility of ‘geographical lockdowns’ and ‘surgical interventions’.
“That notion of having much more sort of targeted lockdowns and, I remember this came up in a discussion that one of my colleagues sitting around the table discussing epidemiology matters was making the point that when you have viruses in animals. OK, it’s very, very clear, you sort of lockdown the group of animals or whatever like that. And you just make sure they don’t move around.
Now at the time it sort of seemed inconceivable that we would think about a human virus in the same way we would think about a virus affecting animals.
But I think, you know, we can actually imagine a situation that geographically, in some shape or form, if a virus could be contained, it would be better to contain one part of the country rather than the whole area or the whole country.
“So I certainly think we should be moving in a direction of having much more sort of surgical lockdowns … surgical interventions to the extent that we can.”
‘I’ve been wondering if people have considered changing where they live because of Covid and in case there’s another pandemic down the road..feels like there might be some kind of virus decentralisation.’
Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2.
Research Professor Kieran McQuinn speaking at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ERSI) media briefing on the quarterly economic commentary, Autumn 2019 confirming a Brexit-related ‘slowdown’ in the ‘underlying economy’.
More as we get it.
Gene Kerrigan tweetz:
It’s comforting to have the ESRI experts assure us there’s no housing bubble.
Here’s some more experts…
Related: ESRI says rapid rise in house prices does not signal new bubble (The Irish Times)
Shoppers on Grafton Street
Following January’s reports of consumer sentiment hitting a ten-year high in December…
Consumer sentiment weakened in March on the back of increased economic uncertainty both at home and internationally, a new index shows today.
The KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI consumer sentiment index fell from 105.8 in February to 100.6 in March.
This brought the index to its lowest level in six months and marked the biggest monthly decline since October 2014.
Consumer sentiment at six month low in March (RTE)
[John Fitzgerald of the ESRI]
The ESRI predicted gross national product (GNP), which strips out the effects of multinational profit flows, would grow by 3.5 per cent this year, and by 3.7 per cent in 2015, rates of growth not seen since 2006.“After a long period of attrition, we are approaching the end of the very painful period of fiscal adjustment,” it said.
[Sunday Tribune, March 15, 2009]
Ireland is now back on a growth path, says ESRI (irish Times)
Thanks Conor McCabe